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Matt Fargo |
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| Matt is coming off a PERFECT 2-0 Tuesday! He is now a POWERFUL 133-99-7 in all sports in 2012 and he has EIGHT Plays for Wednesday (5 CBB and 3 NBA)! |
| Published Hot Streaks |
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• All Sports Plays (+797) 23-14 L37 62% • NBA Plays (+771) 27-18 L45 60% |
| SHORT STATS | ||||
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Moneyline Picks | +300.0 units | +44.8% | 80% | 4-1 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| ATS Picks | +166.0 units | +1.3% | 52% | 61-56 |
| Overall Picks | +28.0 units | +0.2% | 52% | 71-65 |
| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Overall Picks | +2421.0 units | +7.8% | 57% | 154-118 |
| Top Play Picks | +1908.0 units | +13.3% | 59% | 76-53 |
| ATS Picks | +1724.0 units | +6.9% | 55% | 126-102 |
| Moneyline Picks | +813.0 units | +14.9% | 67% | 26-13 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Cal Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State |
Cal Santa Barbara +8-108 at 5DIMES |
Lost $108.0 |
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Matt is coming off a PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP last night with rocking chair winners on Colorado St. and Portland! He carries that momentum into Wednesday as he is releasing a MONSTER card with EIGHT Hoops Winners (5 CBB and 3 NBA)! He extends his SIZZLING 86-64-6 ATS CBB run as well as his COMMANDING 60-39-3 NBA run! Do not miss out! Early in the season many thought this game would have some big implications toward the Big West regular season championship but this now not the case. Long Beach St. has pretty much run away with the title although it is not mathematically over. The 49ers are a perfect 12-0 in the conference with four games remaining and they possess a three-game lead so barring a serious meltdown, they will be the top seed heading into the conference tournament. Santa Barbara is 9-3 in the Big West and it knows the race is not over year as it still has a chance to catch the 49ers. It will need some help along the way but most important, it needs to take car of its own business first and foremost. The Gauchos have been playing very consistent basketball and are in the midst of their best run of the season as they have won six of their last seven games with five of those victories coming on the road. They are coming off a Bracketbuster win Saturday at Utah St. Even though it may mean little at this point, Long Beach St. is coming off a gut wrenching loss at Creighton on Saturday as they lost on a last-second bucket. It snapped a 12-game winning streak and a tough loss like that can carry forward. The 49ers have yet to lose at home this season so the undefeated record there as well in conference play may look like it doesn't give the Gauchos a chance to win but we are getting a very healthy line and one that Santa Barbara can easily stay within. That doesn't mean the Gauchos can't win this game outright. They will no doubt be fired up for this game following the first meeting where it was hammered at home by the 49ers by 23 points which is its worst loss of the season and they have played some other very strong teams along the way. Long Beach St. has owned this series spread-wise but this is easily the biggest number it has laid in a very long time. The 49ers are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a win against the number. 3* (607) Santa Barbara Gauchos |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma |
Oklahoma -4-105 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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After a very strong start to the season, mainly the non-conference portion of the schedule, it has been a rough second half for Oklahoma. The Sooners went 10-2 through their first 12 games but they have gone just 3-11 in the Big XII following their sixth straight loss on Saturday, a blowout at Iowa St. Oklahoma is in jeopardy of falling below .500 for the first time this season should it lose on Wednesday and that alone will provide the motivation in getting up for this game. Oklahoma St, is coming off a home upset over Texas on Saturday as the Cowboys put up 90 points, a regulation season high by a mile, led by Keiton Page who scored a career high 40 points thanks to a 20-20 effort from the free throw line. That snapped a two-game skid for the Cowboys which have definitely been more consistent than Oklahoma but are still a game worse overall at 13-14. They are 6-8 in the Big XII but this includes a 1-6 record on the road, the only win coming at Texas Tech, the worst team in the conference. While avoiding a sub-.500 record is motivation, the fact that this is the second installment of the Bedlam series does not need to be reminded to Oklahoma. The Sooners lost the first meeting in Stillwater which was the third of three straight conference losses to start the season. The crowd will be a big factor tonight as Oklahoma has won the last seven meetings in this series played in Norman as well as nine of the last 10. Oklahoma shot a season-low 32.4 percent from the field in the first loss this year to the Cowboys. Undone by turnovers in losses to Texas and missed free throws against Missouri, Oklahoma has to find a way to eliminate mistakes in the late going. The Sooners had a chance to win four of the six games during this recent skid but they have been unable to put it together. Oklahoma St. is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games as a road underdog while going 4-12 ATS in it last 16 road games after playing a game at home. Oklahoma is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against teams shooting less than 42 percent from the floor. 9* (576) Oklahoma Sooners |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Houston vs. Marshall |
Marshall -13-106 at 5DIMES |
Lost $106.0 |
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This may seem like a large number to be laying but I don't expect this game to be close as the situation calls for a blowout. The Cougars are coming off a big win at home over conference leading Southern Mississippi on Saturday as 9.5-point underdogs and that victory snapped a four-game losing streak for Houston. Consistency has been a big problem for the Cougars this season as they have won consecutive conference games only once this season and both of those came on their home floor. Marshall could be peaking at the right time. The Thundering Herd opened the season at 13-4 but a neutral court loss against rival West Virginia set them back and they went on to go on a 1-6 downward spiral but four of those losses took place on the road. Marshall has won two straight games and the remaining schedule calls for a strong finish as three of the last four games are at home with two of them against conference leaders Memphis and Southern Mississippi which could be huge confidence building wins. Houston is 1-7 on the highway for the season. The lone road win came at Arkansas of all places although it was not at Bud Walton Arena so while it was a home game for the Razorbacks, it wasn’t a true home contest. The Cougars lost at Texas St. in non-conference action and they are 0-6 in road C-USA games and they haven't even been close as they have come by 20, 11, 16, 11, 21 and 24 points. That certainly helps ease the fact of laying a bigger number with Tulsa. Marshall is just a game and a half out of third place in C-USA so every game is big at this point and there will be no looking ahead especially with the Cougars coming off that upset victory on Saturday. Houston is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 while going 0-5 ATS in its last five games against teams with a winning home record. The home team has covered five straight meetings in this series and that run continues tonight. 8* (566) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 George Mason vs. Northeastern |
George Mason -3-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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This is a big game for George Mason despite an even bigger game on deck for Saturday. The Patriots face VCU on the road Saturday and that game will no doubt tie into the regular season conference championship but first things first. They need to take care of business at Northeastern tonight for that game to even mean anything for George Mason. The Patriots are riding a five-game winning streak and have won 11 of 12 games going back to its first conference loss of the season at Drexel. It has been a pretty disappointing season for Northeastern despite being 8-8 in the CAA. A lot more was expect from the Huskies and after starting the season 5-2 in the conference, they were well on their way but they have won only three games since then and two of those came against Towson and Hofstra, which are a combined 3-29 in the conference. They might have bee guilty of a lookahead on Saturday but losing at home to Stony Brook was an inexcusable defeat. It is Senior Night in Boston tonight as this is the Huskies final home game of the season but Senior Night is not a big deal when the roster consists of only one senior and it is lessened even more as Kashief Edwards only played one season for Northeastern. The Huskies are 6-5 at home on the season and the best wins came against Georgia St. and Delaware which are both 10-6 in the conference but other than that, there have been no significant wins. This is the first meeting this season after George Mason swept the season series last year after getting swept by Northeastern the previous season. The Patriots pride themselves on defense once again as they are allowing opponents to shoot just 38.8 percent from the floor this season and this type of defense has plagued Northeastern in the past as it is 2-8 ATS this season against teams allowing opponents to shoot less than 42 percent from the floor. Also, the Huskies are 2-11 ATS the last two years with a line between +3 and -3. 9* (551) George Mason Patriots |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Dayton vs. Duquesne |
Duquesne -3-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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Dayton started the A-10 season exceptional, going 4-1 through its first five games which included big wins against St. Louis, Temple and Xavier. Since then though as the schedule has eased up, the Flyers have regressed as they are just 2-5 over their last seven games which includes an overtime win over Fordham, one of the worst teams in the conference. Dayton is coming off a tough loss in overtime against Xavier and that is the type of deflating defeat that can linger for a while. Duquesne is coming off a blowout loss at Temple on Saturday to remain tied with Dayton for eighth place in the conference at 6-6. The Dukes fell to 2-4 in road conference games with those four losses being huge blowouts but a return home should help matters as their 4-2 conference record at home could be even better as the tow losses came by a combined five points. Duquesne has been great this season following a loss as it is 9-1 coming off a defeat, covering seven of those games. This is a big game for both sides when it comes to conference seedings as the teams that close the regular season in fifth place through eighth place get a first round bye in the upcoming A-10 Tournament. The winner on this game will have a one-game lead over the loser with three games left and a victory from Duquesne will almost lock up a bye as it would own the tiebreaker thanks to a 2-0 season series sweep. That sweep essentially gives the Dukes a two-game lead over the Flyers. Duquesne head coach Ron Everhart said he doesn't have to remind his team of the importance of this game. "I don't think that it needs to be brought up or talked about a bunch because I think every one of those kids knows exactly where they are," he said. Dayton is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a game where it scored 80 or more points while going 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (538) Duquesne Dukes |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Southern Miss vs. UTEP |
Southern Miss -1-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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Southern Mississippi is coming off a shocking road loss on Saturday at Houston which kept the Golden Eagles from taking over solo first place in Conference-USA over Memphis with four games remaining. That effort provides a great bounce back opportunity for tonight as the Golden Eagles have followed up their four previous losses with wins next time out and a win here essentially means a cover as well based on the low line. Southern Mississippi is 7-4 on the road this year. While Southern Mississippi was getting upset Saturday, UTEP was doing the upsetting as it won on the road at Memphis by a bucket as 14.5-point underdogs. The Miners have win three straight games to improve to 6-6 in the conference which followed a four-game losing streak. It has been that type of season for the Miners as they have been as streaky as they come. UTEP is 9-4 at home this season which included a could ugly early losses to bad teams and two recent conference setbacks. This is a battle of experience against non-experience. Southern Mississippi boasts a roster that consists of 10 of the 13 players being seniors while UTEP brought in a season opening roster of eight freshmen, two sophomores, two juniors and one injured senior and that has been depleted with injuries and transfers. This contrast is a big deal especially coming off those Saturday games where the more experienced team is coming off the upset and that bodes well in preparation for this game. The Golden Eagles fall into a solid situation where we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four straight games where both teams scored 70 points or less. This situation is 108-64 ATS (62.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Southern Mississippi is 23-12 ATS in its last 35 road games while going 21-8 ATS in its last 29 road games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Miners meanwhile are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a win against the spread. 10* (595) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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NBA | Feb 22, 2012 Indiana Pacers vs. Charlotte Bobcats |
Indiana Pacers -5½-105 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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After five straight losses, Indiana needed something to go its way and the schedule makers did the Pacers a favor by scheduling four games against horrible teams to close out the first half of the season. Playing Charlotte twice, New Jersey and New Orleans is a way to get right in a hurry, so long as they win the games. Losing a game to the worst team in the NBA heading into the All-Star break could be detrimental to Indiana in the second half of the season so this is a actually a big game for the Pacers. Indiana defeated the Bobcats on Sunday by 35 points as it absolutely dominated. The Pacers went on a 21-2 run to start the game and actually led by as many as 44 points before taking the foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. Charlotte's 73 points were the fewest allowed by Indiana since November of 2010 and on the season, the Bobcats are 27th in the NBA in field-goal percentage and are averaging a league-low 86.9 ppg. The Pacers also won the first meeting this season by 22 points. This sets up a revenge situation for the Bobcats but getting any sort of revenge is tough for a team as bad as they are. They have now dropped 17 of their last 18 games, are an NBA worst 4-27 overall including 2-11 at home which is also the worst in the league. To their credit, the Bobcats have played the NBA's sixth toughest schedule but considering they are 0-17 against the top 16 teams in the league, it really does not matter how tough the schedule has been. They are the only team without a win against the top 16. Charlotte has had many opportunities to avenge losses this season but it is just 4-15 ATS revenging a loss, getting outscored by 19.1 ppg in the process. Also, the Bobcats are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games coming off a road loss and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing two consecutive games as road underdogs. The Pacers fall into a great situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage below .250 revenging a loss of 20 points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 66-29 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (507) Indiana Pacers |
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NBA | Feb 22, 2012 Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Minnesota Timberwolves -4-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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We lost a tough one with Utah on Monday as it blew a late 11-point lead to lose to the Spurs and miss the cover by a bucket. That was at home where the Jazz have been very solid but the road is a different story as they are 3-10 in their 13 road games thus far. Those 13 road games are the second fewest amount of road games played by any team in the Western Conference so not only have they been bad, but they have had a favorable schedule of playing five more home games than away games. Minnesota is coming off a tough overtime loss at Denver on Monday which snapped a three-game winning streak, the third time this season it has failed to make it four consecutive wins. The Timberwolves are very much in the playoff picture and sitting just a game under .500, they can enter the All-Star break with a .500 record for the first time in a very long time and that is a goal of theirs. Also, at 16-17, it's their best 33-game start since opening 2006-07 at 17-16. Utah is now under .500 for the first time since January 2nd and a win over the Spurs would have provided some huge momentum going into this game and into the All-Star break but judging by the body language of a lot of the players after that game, it was a difficult loss to take and one that will be tough to recover from. "It's tough," said Al Jefferson, staring down and speaking softly. After starting the season 9-4, Utah is just 6-12 over its last 18 games. The fact that Minnesota has a losing record at home is surprising considering it is 7-7 on the road after winning only five road games total in each of the last two years (a combined 10-72). The schedule has played a part as 14 of the Timberwolves 19 home games have been against teams that are currently in playoff positions. Utah won the first meeting this season by 10 points which sets up a payback opportunity for the Timberwolves. The home team has covered seven straight in this series. 9* (520) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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NBA | Feb 22, 2012 Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks |
Atlanta Hawks +5-103 at 5DIMES |
Lost $103.0 |
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The Jeremy Lin hype continues in New York and that is just fine as it is driving the prices on New York to amounts they should not be at. The Knicks have dropped two of their last three games and losses came against lowly New Jersey and New Orleans and the fact that they are favored by only two buckets less than against those teams is showing they are getting too much respect. Despite the recent hot run, the Knicks are still under .500 on the season and second in the NBA in turnovers with a whopping 15.9 per game. Atlanta enters this game coming off two straight losses and a 3-7 record over their last 10 games. The Hawks are 1-3 on this current roadtrip but the losses have come against the Lakers, Blazers and Bulls so there is some credibility to them. They end their first half tomorrow with a big game at home against Orlando as they look to gain some ground on the Magic but this game cannot be overlooked. Atlanta is 10-8 on the road and it is one of only six NBA teams with double-digit road victories. Each of the Hawks last four losses have come against upcoming playoff teams and catching another one tomorrow makes this a true must win scenario. Atlanta has taken care of business when it has needed to as it is 13-1 against teams ranked outside the top 16 this season. The loss of Joe Johnson certainly hurts but Atlanta has enough in talent to make up for it. Marvin Williams, who missed Monday's game, will be back and his length and athleticism should be helpful in a match-up against Carmelo Anthony. While Atlanta has a game tomorrow against Orlando, the Knicks are playing at Miami and that can always lead to a slight lookahead. The Knicks are just 1-10 ATS this season in home games coming off a home loss. And they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game. The Hawks meanwhile are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against losing teams and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games after failing to cover three of their last four games against the number. 9* (511) Atlanta Hawks |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as �Mr. Analysis� as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
